Mississippi’s new COVID-19 cases reported Saturday increased again from the previous day, while hospitalizations are seeing a clear downward trend. Sadly, Warren County reported its 15th and 16th death for August.
In Warren County, the Mississippi State Department of Health reported six new COVID-19 cases Saturday and two new deaths. The cumulative number of cases in the county to date is 1,242, and the county’s death toll is 41.
Statewide, MSDH reported 945 new COVID-19 cases Saturday, bringing the total cumulative confirmed cases in Mississippi to 77,268. With six of the last seven days reporting fewer than 1,000 cases, the seven-day average of new cases is 787, up more than 100 cases from just a few days ago.
MSDH reported Saturday that 23 Mississippians died of COVID-19 statewide, bringing the total number of deaths in the state to 2,237. The state’s rate of deaths to confirmed cases is about 2.9%. The rate had been holding steady for at least two weeks at 2.8% but has now risen slightly.
The numbers of deaths can lag new cases by two weeks or more, which may be one reason deaths in the state had not risen dramatically until July 7 when 44 deaths were reported. The highest number of deaths in any one day was 51 reported Aug. 5. In addition, most new cases are seen in younger people recently, and they are more likely to survive the virus than those 65 and older. By far, the age group reporting the most cases in Mississippi are young people from 18 to 29 years old.
MSDH reported deaths in the following counties Saturday:
|County||Deaths reported Saturday|
One confirmed COVID-19 related death occurred Aug. 16 in Tishomingo County, identified from a death certificate report.
Deaths and new cases were reported as of 6 p.m. Friday, Aug. 21. MSDH usually reports new statistics on the COVID-19 coronavirus each day based on the previous day’s testing and death reports.
The primary metric concerning state health officials are the numbers of people hospitalized, and that number rose steadily with the rise of new cases. On June 6, the number of Mississippians hospitalized with confirmed cases of COVID-19 was at 358. Since then, hospitalizations have nearly tripled. They have leveled off in the past couple of weeks and are now seeing a drop. A month ago, health officials began warning repeatedly that some hospitals were running out of ICU beds. That warning became more urgent as the number of critical cases continued to rise. With the number of cases falling in the past couple of weeks, critical cases are now also seeing a drop.
The number of Mississippians hospitalized for the virus as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Aug. 20, is 997, the first time in weeks that fewer than 1,000 people were hospitalized. The number includes 841 with confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 156 people with suspected but unconfirmed cases. Of those with confirmed infections, 264 were critically ill and in intensive care units and 152 were on ventilators.
MSDH has estimated the number of people who can be presumed recovered from COVID-19 in Mississippi. That number is 56,577 through Sunday, Aug. 16. This figure is updated weekly. It represents about 73.2% of the cumulative 77,268 cases reported as of Saturday, Aug. 22.
The number of cases in Warren County three weeks ago, Saturday, Aug. 1, was 964, therefore the estimated number of people presumed recovered in the county is 923, or about 74.3% of the 1,242 cumulative cases reported Saturday, Aug. 22. The county has an estimated 278 active cases.
These estimates are based on MSDH’s guidelines for calculating estimated recoveries when hospitalizations are not known, using the number of cases 21 days ago, less known outcomes (deaths).
The total number of Mississippians tested for COVID-19 (PCR tests) as of Friday, Aug. 21, is 530,974 or about 17.8% of the state’s 2.976 million residents. The positivity rate (positive results to tests, seven-day average) is about 28.7%, according to Johns Hopkins University, indicating Mississippi is not testing nearly enough, and results are probably an undercount of actual infections. The national rate is currently 6.3%, and a rate of 5% or less indicates adequate testing. Mississippi’s positivity rate has been the highest or among the highest in the nation for weeks.
The total number of outbreaks in long-term care facilities is 172 Saturday. About 42%, or 939, of the state’s total deaths were people in long-term care facilities. nine of the 23 deaths reported Saturday were in long-term care facilities.
In Warren County as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Aug. 20, MSDH reported that three long-term facilities were under investigation for active COVID-19 outbreaks:
- Shady Lawn had seven cases among staff, 32 cases among residents and nine resident deaths.
- The Bluffs had 15 cases among staff, 44 cases among residents and three resident deaths.
- Vicksburg Convalescent had 11 cases among staff, four cases among residents and no resident deaths.
A total of 19 deaths in the county were residents of LTC facilities.
For additional information, visit the MSDH website.