Mississippi added more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases for the second time this week while nationally, the record for most reported cases in a day was broken again for the third consecutive day.
At least 132,797 new cases and 1,223 deaths were reported Friday in the U.S., bringing the seven-day average to more than 100,000 cases and more than 800 deaths per day. By some estimates, the U.S. has already surpassed 10 million cumulative COVID-19 cases and 240,000 deaths.
In Mississippi, the seven-day average for new cases is now over 800 per day, a level not seen in the state since August.
In Warren County, the Mississippi State Department of Health reported eight new COVID-19 cases Saturday, and no new deaths. The cumulative number of cases in Warren County to date is 1,614, and the county’s death toll is 56.
Statewide, MSDH reported 1,031 new COVID-19 cases Saturday, bringing the total cumulative confirmed cases in Mississippi to 125,885. The seven-day average of new cases is 817.9, about 239 cases higher than a month ago.
Most new cases are seen in younger people recently, and they are more likely to survive the virus than those 65 and older. By far, the age group reporting the most cases in Mississippi are young people from 18 to 29 years old.
MSDH reported Saturday that 15 more Mississippians died of COVID-19 statewide. The cumulative number of deaths in the state is 3,433. The state’s rate of deaths to confirmed cases is about 2.7%.
Deaths are a lagging indicator. While July saw the highest number of new cases since the crisis began, August saw the highest number of deaths. The highest number of deaths in any one day was 67 reported Aug. 25.
The 15 deaths MSDH reported Saturday occurred between Oct. 25 and Nov. 6 in the following counties:
|County||Deaths reported Saturday|
New cases and deaths were reported to MSDH as of 6 p.m. Friday, Nov. 6. MSDH usually reports statistics on the COVID-19 coronavirus each day based on the previous day’s testing and death reports.
The primary metric concerning state health officials are the numbers of people hospitalized, and that number rose steadily with the rise of new cases in July and August. On June 6, the number of Mississippians hospitalized with confirmed cases of COVID-19 was at 358. Hospitalizations tripled by late July.
Hospitalizations then steadily dropped through Oct. 3 when they began rising again along with increased cases. The last week in October, hospitalizations began levelling off.
The number of Mississippians hospitalized for the virus as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Nov. 5, was 695, more than half of the late July peak of about 1,200. The number includes 604 with confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 91 people with suspected but unconfirmed cases. Of those with confirmed infections, 176 were critically ill and in intensive care units and 82 were on ventilators.
MSDH has estimated the number of people who can be presumed recovered from COVID-19 in Mississippi. That number is 105,839 through Sunday, Nov. 1. This figure is updated weekly. It represents about 84.1% of the cumulative 125,885 cases reported as of Saturday, Nov. 7.
The number of cases in Warren County three weeks ago, Saturday, Oct. 17, was 1,518, therefore the estimated number of people presumed recovered in the county is 1,462, or about 90.6% of the 1,614 cumulative cases reported as of Saturday, Nov. 7. The county has an estimated 96 active cases.
These estimates are based on MSDH’s guidelines for calculating estimated recoveries when hospitalizations are not known, using the number of cases 21 days ago, less known outcomes (deaths).
The total number of Mississippians tested for COVID-19 (PCR and antigen tests identifying current infections) as of Saturday, Oct. 31 (the latest statewide testing results reported by MSDH), is 1,049,479 or about 35.3% of the state’s 2.976 million residents. Without daily updated numbers of tests, it is impossible to accurately calculate Mississippi’s positivity rate (positive results to tests, seven-day average), however, the rate was 14.3% Friday, according to Johns Hopkins University. The national rate is 7.3%, and 5% or lower indicates adequate testing.
The total number of outbreaks in long-term care facilities was 107 Saturday. About 39.2%, or 1,347, of the state’s total deaths were people in long-term care facilities.
A total of 26 deaths in Warren County were residents of LTC facilities.
MSDH is no longer reporting outbreaks in individual long-term care facilities in Mississippi and has replaced it with access to a database from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid. You can access and search the data here. The latest data available is for the week ending Oct. 25.
For additional information, visit the MSDH website.