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Mississippi reports fewer than 200 cases Monday; Warren County reports its 48 death



Mississippi reported fewer than 200 new COVID-19 cases Monday, which hasn’t occurred since June 14. Monday is the 26th consecutive day of fewer than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases reported statewide.

In Warren County, the Mississippi State Department of Health reported two new COVID-19 cases Sunday and none Monday. One new death was reported Monday, apparently a resident of a long-term care facility. The cumulative number of cases in the county to date is 1,354, and the county’s death toll is 48.

Statewide, MSDH reported 254 new COVID-19 cases Sunday and 145 Monday, bringing the total cumulative confirmed cases in Mississippi to 90,018. The seven-day average of new cases is 413, about half of where it was a month ago.

MSDH reported Sunday that 12 additional Mississippians died of COVID-19 statewide and another nine Monday. The cumulative number of deaths in the state is 2,706. The state’s rate of deaths to confirmed cases is about 3%.

Deaths are a lagging indicator. While July saw the highest number of new cases since the crisis began, August saw the highest number of deaths. The highest number of deaths in any one day was 67 reported Aug. 25.

Most new cases are seen in younger people recently, and they are more likely to survive the virus than those 65 and older. By far, the age group reporting the most cases in Mississippi are young people from 18 to 29 years old.

MSDH reported deaths in the following counties Sunday:

County Deaths reported Sunday
Covington 1
Grenada 1
Itawamba 1
Tallahatchie 2

Seven COVID-19 related deaths occurred between Aug. 26 and Sept. 4 and were identified from death certificate reports Sunday.

County Deaths reported on death certificate reports Sunday
Kemper 1
Leflore 2
Monroe 1
Newton 1
Prentiss 1
Washington 1

The nine COVID-19 related deaths reported Monday occurred between Aug. 26 and Sept. 4 and were identified from death certificate reports.

County Deaths reported on death certificate reports Monday
Hinds 2
Holmes 1
Madison 1
Marion 1
Newton 1
Noxubee 1
Scott 1
Warren 1

Deaths and new cases were reported as of 6 p.m. Saturday, Sept. 12, for Sunday and Sunday, Sept. 13, for Monday. MSDH usually reports new statistics on the COVID-19 coronavirus each day based on the previous day’s testing and death reports.

The primary metric concerning state health officials are the numbers of people hospitalized, and that number rose steadily with the rise of new cases in July and August. On June 6, the number of Mississippians hospitalized with confirmed cases of COVID-19 was at 358. Hospitalizations nearly tripled by late July. They leveled off in early August and began noticeably dropping in the middle of the month including critical cases and numbers of people requiring ventilators.

The number of Mississippians hospitalized for the virus as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Sept. 10 (the latest data available from MSDH), is 680, showing a clear downward trend after peaking in late July at more than 1,200. The number includes 545 with confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 135 people with suspected but unconfirmed cases. Of those with confirmed infections, 182 were critically ill and in intensive care units and 100 were on ventilators.

Source; MSDH

MSDH has estimated the number of people who can be presumed recovered from COVID-19 in Mississippi. That number is 74,098 through Monday, Sept. 7. This figure is updated weekly. It represents about 82.7% of the cumulative 90,018 cases reported as of Monday, Sept. 14.

The number of cases in Warren County three weeks ago, Monday, Aug. 24, was 1,248, therefore the estimated number of people presumed recovered in the county is 1,200, or about 92.6% of the 1,354 cumulative cases reported Monday, Sept. 14. The county has an estimated 106 active cases.

These estimates are based on MSDH’s guidelines for calculating estimated recoveries when hospitalizations are not known, using the number of cases 21 days ago, less known outcomes (deaths).

The total number of Mississippians tested for COVID-19 (PCR and antigen tests identifying current infections) as of Friday, Sept. 11, is 655,418 or about 22% of the state’s 2.976 million residents. The positivity rate (positive results to tests, seven-day average) was 12% Sunday, according to Johns Hopkins University, indicating Mississippi is not testing nearly enough, and results are probably an undercount of actual infections. Mississippi’s positivity rate has been the highest or among the highest in the nation for weeks. The national rate is 5%, indicating adequate testing.

The total number of outbreaks in long-term care facilities is 136 Monday. About 41.6%, or 1,126, of the state’s total deaths were people in long-term care facilities.

In Warren County as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Sept. 10, MSDH reported that two long-term facilities were under investigation for active COVID-19 outbreaks:

  • Shady Lawn had 13 cases among staff, 33 cases among residents and nine resident deaths.
  • The Bluffs had 31 cases among staff, 48 cases among residents and five resident deaths.

A total of 23 deaths in the county were residents of LTC facilities.

For additional information, visit the MSDH website.

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