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Labor Day sees continuing positive trends in Mississippi’s COVID-19 numbers

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Labor Day sees a continuation of COVID-19 statistics headed in the right direction. Monday is the 19th consecutive day of fewer than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases reported statewide.

In Warren County, the Mississippi State Department of Health reported only one new COVID-19 case Sunday and Monday and no new deaths. The cumulative number of cases in the county to date is 1,341, and the county’s death toll is 47.

Statewide, MSDH reported 410 new COVID-19 cases Sunday and 242 cases Monday, bringing the total cumulative confirmed cases in Mississippi to 87,130. The average of new cases for the first seven days in September has dropped to 597, about 60% of where the seven-day average was the first week in August.

MSDH reported Saturday that 15 additional Mississippians died of COVID-19 statewide Sunday and one Monday, bringing the total number of deaths in the state to 2,585. The state’s rate of deaths to confirmed cases is about 3%.

The one death reported Monday was in Quitman County.

Deaths are a lagging indicator. While July saw the highest number of new cases since the crisis began, August saw the highest number of deaths. The highest number of deaths in any one day was 67 reported Aug. 25.

Most new cases are seen in younger people recently, and they are more likely to survive the virus than those 65 and older. By far, the age group reporting the most cases in Mississippi are young people from 18 to 29 years old.

Deaths and new cases were reported as of 6 p.m. Friday, Sept. 4. MSDH usually reports new statistics on the COVID-19 coronavirus each day based on the previous day’s testing and death reports.

The primary metric concerning state health officials are the numbers of people hospitalized, and that number rose steadily with the rise of new cases. On June 6, the number of Mississippians hospitalized with confirmed cases of COVID-19 was at 358. Hospitalizations nearly tripled by late July. They leveled off in early August and began noticeably dropping in the middle of the month including critical cases and numbers of people requiring ventilators.

The number of Mississippians hospitalized for the virus as of 6 p.m. Friday, Sept. 4 (the latest hospital statistics available from MSDH), is 789, showing a downward trend after peaking in late July at more than 1,200. The number includes 608 with confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 150 people with suspected but unconfirmed cases. Of those with confirmed infections, 186 were critically ill and in intensive care units and 111 were on ventilators.

MSDH has estimated the number of people who can be presumed recovered from COVID-19 in Mississippi. That number is 67,918 through Sunday, Aug. 30. This figure is updated weekly. It represents about 78% of the cumulative 87,130 cases reported as of Monday, Sept. 7.

The number of cases in Warren County three weeks ago, Monday, Aug. 17, was 1,182, therefore the estimated number of people presumed recovered in the county is 1,135, or about 84.6% of the 1,341 cumulative cases reported Monday, Sept. 7. The county has an estimated 159 active cases.

These estimates are based on MSDH’s guidelines for calculating estimated recoveries when hospitalizations are not known, using the number of cases 21 days ago, less known outcomes (deaths).

The total number of Mississippians tested for COVID-19 (PCR and antigen tests identifying current infections) as of Friday, Sept. 4, is 626,311 or about 21.3% of the state’s 2.976 million residents. The positivity rate (positive results to tests, seven-day average) was 14.7% Sunday, according to Johns Hopkins University, indicating Mississippi is not testing nearly enough, and results are probably an undercount of actual infections. The national rate is currently 5.3%, and a rate of 5% or less indicates adequate testing. Mississippi’s positivity rate has been the highest or among the highest in the nation for weeks.

The total number of outbreaks in long-term care facilities is 150 Monday. About 41.6%, or 1,068, of the state’s total deaths were people in long-term care facilities.

In Warren County as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Sept. 3, MSDH reported that two long-term facilities were under investigation for active COVID-19 outbreaks:

  • Shady Lawn had seven cases among staff, 33 cases among residents and nine resident deaths.
  • The Bluffs had 29 cases among staff, 48 cases among residents and five resident deaths.

A total of 22 deaths in the county were residents of LTC facilities.

For additional information, visit the MSDH website.

COVID-19

Mississippi reports 4th consecutive day of 1,000+ new COVID-19 cases Saturday

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Mississippi reported a fourth consecutive day of more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases Saturday.

Nationally, the virus continues to break records from coast to coast. More than 181,000 new cases were reported Friday along with 1,389 new deaths. All the COVID-19 statistics are skyrocketing as the cumulative case count approaches 11 million and deaths near 250,000, by far the highest COVID-19 numbers in the world.

“It’s getting bad and it’s potentially going to get a lot worse,” Jennifer Nuzzo, an epidemiologist and senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, told The New York Times. “The months ahead are looking quite horrifying.”

Warren County has so far been relatively unaffected by the soaring new case and death counts. The average for the first two weeks in November remains just barely over five cases per day, and the last death recorded in the county was Oct. 26.

In Warren County, the Mississippi State Department of Health reported 11 new COVID-19 cases Saturday and no new deaths. The cumulative number of cases in Warren County to date is 1,649, and the county’s death toll is 56.

Statewide, MSDH reported 1,370 new COVID-19 cases Saturday, bringing the total cumulative confirmed cases in Mississippi to 133,340. The seven-day average of new cases is 1,065, 60% higher than the seven-day average a month ago, and on par with numbers in late July and early August.

At the beginning of the crises, the age group with the most COVID-19 cases were those over 65. Now, most new cases are seen in younger people who are more likely to survive the virus than those 65 and older. In September, the age group reporting the most cases in Mississippi were 18 to 24 years old. That has shifted to a slightly older group. In November, the age group reporting the most cases in Mississippi are from 25 to 39 years old followed by those 50 to 64 years old.

MSDH reported Saturday that 21 more Mississippians died of COVID-19 statewide. The cumulative number of deaths in the state is 3,540. The state’s rate of deaths to confirmed cases is about 2.7%.

Deaths are a lagging indicator. While July saw the highest number of new cases since the crisis began, August saw the highest number of deaths. The highest number of deaths in any one day was 67 reported Aug. 25.

Of the 21 deaths MSDH reported Saturday, 11 occurred between Oct. 22 .and Nov. 13 in the following counties:

County Deaths reported Saturday
Covington 1
Franklin 1
George 1
Harrison 1
Hinds 1
Jones 1
Lamar 1
Lee 1
Pearl River 1
Pontotoc 1
Tate 1

Ten COVID-19 related deaths occurred between Aug.15 and Nov. 9 and were identified from death certificate reports.

County Deaths identified from death certificate reports
Clay 1
Coahoma 1
Desoto 1
Hinds 1
Itawamba 1
Lee 1
Marshall 1
Montgomery 1
Prentiss 1
Rankin 1

New cases and deaths were reported to MSDH as of 6 p.m. Friday, Nov. 13. MSDH usually reports statistics on the COVID-19 coronavirus each day based on the previous day’s testing and death reports.

The primary metric concerning state health officials are the numbers of people hospitalized, and that number rose steadily with the rise of new cases in July and August. On June 6, the number of Mississippians hospitalized with confirmed cases of COVID-19 was at 358. Hospitalizations tripled by late July.

Hospitalizations then steadily dropped through Oct. 3 when they began rising again along with increased cases. The last week in October, hospitalizations began levelling off; however, the past week has seen a steady rise in hospitalizations once again.

The number of Mississippians hospitalized for the virus as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Nov. 12, was 774, about 65% of the late July peak of about 1,200. The number includes 678 with confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 89 people with suspected but unconfirmed cases. Of those with confirmed infections, 194 were critically ill and in intensive care units and 92 were on ventilators.

Source: MSDH

MSDH has estimated the number of people who can be presumed recovered from COVID-19 in Mississippi. That number is 111,430 through Sunday, Nov. 8. This figure is updated weekly. It represents about 83.6% of the cumulative 133,340 cases reported as of Saturday, Nov. 14.

The number of cases in Warren County three weeks ago, Saturday, Oct. 24, was 1,548, therefore the estimated number of people presumed recovered in the county is 1,492, or about 90.5% of the 1,649 cumulative cases reported as of Saturday, Nov. 14. The county has an estimated 101 active cases.

These estimates are based on MSDH’s guidelines for calculating estimated recoveries when hospitalizations are not known, using the number of cases 21 days ago, less known outcomes (deaths).

The total number of Mississippians tested for COVID-19 (PCR and antigen tests identifying current infections) as of Saturday, Nov. 7 (the latest statewide testing results reported by MSDH), is 1,105,638 or about 37.2% of the state’s 2.976 million residents. Without daily updated numbers of tests, it is impossible to accurately calculate Mississippi’s positivity rate (positive results to tests, seven-day average), however, the rate was 16.3% Friday, according to Johns Hopkins University. The national rate is 9.5%, and 5% or lower indicates adequate testing.

The total number of outbreaks in long-term care facilities was 146 Saturday. About 38.7%, or 1,371, of the state’s total deaths were people in long-term care facilities.

A total of 26 deaths in Warren County were residents of LTC facilities.

MSDH is no longer reporting outbreaks in individual long-term care facilities in Mississippi and has replaced it with access to a database from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid. You can access and search the data by provider here. The latest data available is for the week ending Nov. 1.

For additional information, visit the MSDH website.

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COVID-19

Warren Central versus Tupelo game canceled due to COVID-19

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Warren Central Vikings (photo by Cedric Tillman)

The Warren Central High School football game with Tupelo High School has been canceled.

The decision was made Friday afternoon because of a COVID-19 quarantine at Tupelo High School. Vicksburg-Warren School District officials have verified the situation which means the Vikings will not travel tonight.

Warren Central advances to the second round of the playoffs because Tupelo called off the game.

The Vikings have extra time to prepare for their next game when they play the winner of this week’s Clinton versus Horn Lake game on Friday, Nov. 20.

Playoff games around the state have been canceled this week due to COVID-19 concerns.

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COVID-19

Mississippi reports third consecutive day of more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases Friday

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Mississippi reported a third consecutive day of more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases Friday.

Nationwide, hospitalizations have nearly doubled in the past two weeks, and hospitals in many areas are reporting they’re at or near a breaking point. This is the situation every effort at containing the virus has sought to avoid: overloading the nation’s health care system beyond its capacity to cope with the pandemic.

The surge in cases across the country has exceeded that of the surge this summer, with records being shattered nearly every day. Thursday’s cases exceeded 160,000 and at least 1,172 Americans died.

In Warren County, the Mississippi State Department of Health reported four new COVID-19 cases Friday and no new deaths. The cumulative number of cases in Warren County to date is 1,638, and the county’s death toll is 56. So far, the county has not been affected by the surge in Mississippi and across the nation. The last reported death in Warren county was Oct. 26.

Statewide, MSDH reported 1,305 new COVID-19 cases Friday, bringing the total cumulative confirmed cases in Mississippi to 131,970. The seven-day average of new cases is 1,016.6, two and a half times higher than the seven-cay average a month ago, and on par with numbers in late July and early August.

At the beginning of the crises, the age group with the most COVID-19 cases were those over 65. Now, most new cases are seen in younger people who are more likely to survive the virus than those 65 and older. In September, the age group reporting the most cases in Mississippi were 18 to 24 years old. That has shifted to a slightly older group. In November, the age group reporting the most cases in Mississippi are from 25 to 39 years old followed by those 50 to 64 years old.

MSDH reported Friday that five more Mississippians died of COVID-19 statewide. The cumulative number of deaths in the state is 3,519. The state’s rate of deaths to confirmed cases is about 2.7%.

Deaths are a lagging indicator. While July saw the highest number of new cases since the crisis began, August saw the highest number of deaths. The highest number of deaths in any one day was 67 reported Aug. 25.

The five deaths MSDH reported Friday occurred between Nov. 10 and Nov. 12 in the following counties:

County Deaths reported Friday
Desoto 1
Grenada 1
Jackson 2
Yalobusha 1

New cases and deaths were reported to MSDH as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Nov. 12. MSDH usually reports statistics on the COVID-19 coronavirus each day based on the previous day’s testing and death reports.

The primary metric concerning state health officials are the numbers of people hospitalized, and that number rose steadily with the rise of new cases in July and August. On June 6, the number of Mississippians hospitalized with confirmed cases of COVID-19 was at 358. Hospitalizations tripled by late July.

Hospitalizations then steadily dropped through Oct. 3 when they began rising again along with increased cases. The last week in October, hospitalizations began levelling off; however, the past week has seen a steady rise in hospitalizations once again.

The number of Mississippians hospitalized for the virus as of 6 p.m. Wednesday, Nov. 11, was 774, about 65% of the late July peak of about 1,200. The number includes 683 with confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 91 people with suspected but unconfirmed cases. Of those with confirmed infections, 194 were critically ill and in intensive care units and 86 were on ventilators.

Source: MSDH

MSDH has estimated the number of people who can be presumed recovered from COVID-19 in Mississippi. That number is 111,430 through Sunday, Nov. 8. This figure is updated weekly. It represents about 84.4% of the cumulative 131,970 cases reported as of Friday, Nov. 13.

The number of cases in Warren County three weeks ago, Friday, Oct. 23, was 1,543, therefore the estimated number of people presumed recovered in the county is 1,487, or about 90.8% of the 1,638 cumulative cases reported as of Friday, Nov. 13. The county has an estimated 95 active cases.

These estimates are based on MSDH’s guidelines for calculating estimated recoveries when hospitalizations are not known, using the number of cases 21 days ago, less known outcomes (deaths).

The total number of Mississippians tested for COVID-19 (PCR and antigen tests identifying current infections) as of Saturday, Nov. 7 (the latest statewide testing results reported by MSDH), is 1,105,638 or about 37.2% of the state’s 2.976 million residents. Without daily updated numbers of tests, it is impossible to accurately calculate Mississippi’s positivity rate (positive results to tests, seven-day average), however, the rate was 15.6% Thursday, according to Johns Hopkins University. The national rate is 9.1%, and 5% or lower indicates adequate testing.

The total number of outbreaks in long-term care facilities was 140 Friday. About 38.9%, or 1,368, of the state’s total deaths were people in long-term care facilities.

A total of 26 deaths in Warren County were residents of LTC facilities.

MSDH is no longer reporting outbreaks in individual long-term care facilities in Mississippi and has replaced it with access to a database from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid. You can access and search the data by provider here. The latest data available is for the week ending Nov. 1.

For additional information, visit the MSDH website.

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